Free State Stars vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FRE
2 - 0
UTH
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
RKF
3 - 1
FRE
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
JDR
1 - 1
FRE
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FRE
1 - 1
PCF
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
CPU
2 - 0
FRE
29%
28%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PRE
0 - 1
POL
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PCF
1 - 0
PRE
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
RIB
1 - 0
PRE
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PRE
1 - 0
BPC
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
JDR
0 - 1
PRE
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |