Free State Stars vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 1
FRE
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 0
SSU
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 6
SUN
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
POL
0 - 2
FRE
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
BID
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 2
PLS
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
PRE
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
PIR
2 - 1
PRE
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 2
BLO
31%
29%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |