Free State Stars vs Polokwane City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
SUN
2 - 1
FRE
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 2
BID
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
FRE
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
AMA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Polokwane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
AMA
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
POL
1 - 0
SUN
17%
26%
57%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
BID
0 - 0
POL
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
POL
0 - 3
CHI
20%
24%
55%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
POL
2 - 0
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |