Free State Stars vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
SSU
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MPU
1 - 1
FRE
29%
30%
41%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
3 - 1
GOL
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
COS
0 - 0
FRE
26%
30%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PIR
1 - 1
BID
55%
27%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
PIR
1 - 0
PLS
59%
26%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
PIR
1 - 0
MPU
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 0
PIR
44%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PIR
4 - 0
COS
65%
24%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |