Free State Stars vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2008 |
PLS
1 - 3
FRE
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MPU
1 - 0
FRE
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
SWA
3 - 1
FRE
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 0
AMA
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 0
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 0
PIR
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
PIR
0 - 1
PLS
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
PIR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
PIR
0 - 1
SSU
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
PIR
0 - 0
COS
57%
27%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |