Free State Stars vs Cape Town City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BID
3 - 1
FRE
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SUN
4 - 1
FRE
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 1
PLS
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MPU
4 - 1
FRE
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
MPU
1 - 1
SSU
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
MPU
0 - 4
PLS
61%
23%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SSU
1 - 2
MPU
43%
25%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
BID
2 - 3
MPU
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
MPU
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |