Free State Stars vs Cape Town City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 2
MPU
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
BLO
0 - 1
FRE
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
BID
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
AJA
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 2
MPU
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
MPU
1 - 1
CHI
48%
26%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BID
2 - 2
MPU
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
POL
2 - 2
MPU
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
MPU
1 - 0
MAR
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |