Free State Stars vs Cape Town City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 1
FRE
55%
25%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BID
2 - 0
FRE
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 0
FRE
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 1
VAS
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
PIR
0 - 0
FRE
53%
27%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
SWA
1 - 3
MPU
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
PIR
0 - 1
MPU
69%
21%
10%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MPU
2 - 2
VAS
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MPU
0 - 1
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
SSU
2 - 1
MPU
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |