Free State Stars vs Cape Town City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 1
FRE
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 2
COS
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 2
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 0
FRE
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
BLO
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
MPU
1 - 1
PIR
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PLS
0 - 1
MPU
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 1
MPU
69%
19%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MPU
0 - 0
COS
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
SWA
1 - 1
MPU
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |