Free State Stars vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FRE
2 - 2
STE
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
JDR
1 - 1
FRE
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
RKF
3 - 0
FRE
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FRE
0 - 0
CPU
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 0
TSG
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SWA
1 - 2
JDR
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SWA
1 - 0
RIB
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
COS
0 - 0
SWA
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SWA
3 - 2
AJA
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
SWA
1 - 2
TSG
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |