Free State Stars vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
AMA
1 - 1
FRE
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
1 - 0
SSU
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FRE
3 - 1
PLS
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
FRE
3 - 1
BID
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FRE
1 - 2
SUN
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
SWA
6 - 2
PLS
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
SWA
1 - 3
COS
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
SWA
1 - 2
SSU
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
SWA
47%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 2
SWA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |