Free State Stars vs Maritzburg United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BID
3 - 0
FRE
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PIR
2 - 1
FRE
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 0
POL
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
SSU
3 - 2
FRE
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Maritzburg United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
GOL
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
GOL
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
MAR
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
SUN
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |