Free State Stars vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
FRE
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 0
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
BID
1 - 1
FRE
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 2
FRE
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
BLO
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
SUN
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 0
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
PRE
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
PIR
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |