Free State Stars vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
AMA
1 - 0
FRE
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
PLS
0 - 3
FRE
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 1
BID
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SSU
2 - 0
FRE
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
FRE
3 - 3
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
PIR
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
MPU
1 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
GOL
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
COS
0 - 0
MAR
35%
30%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
SWA
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |