Free State Stars vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
POL
0 - 2
FRE
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
BID
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 0
BID
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
FRE
43%
29%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 0
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
BLO
0 - 1
SUN
39%
29%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHI
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COS
0 - 2
SUN
22%
28%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 2
AJA
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GOL
2 - 1
SUN
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |