Free State Stars vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 0
GOL
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
FRE
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 2
PIR
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
FRE
37%
30%
34%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
SSU
0 - 0
FRE
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PIR
2 - 1
SUN
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SUN
3 - 1
SAN
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SWA
0 - 2
SUN
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SUN
1 - 1
PLS
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SSU
1 - 0
SUN
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |