Free State Stars vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 3
FRE
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
PIR
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
FRE
59%
25%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 3
MPU
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 0
PRE
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 0
MPU
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
PIR
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 0
AMA
57%
25%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 1
CHI
29%
29%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BID
2 - 2
CHI
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |