Free State Stars vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
FRE
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 0
BID
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SSU
2 - 1
FRE
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 0
FRE
58%
24%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 2
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
SUN
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 6
CHI
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SUN
4 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
PIR
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
AMA
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |