Free State Stars vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
SUN
2 - 0
FRE
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRE
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 1
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PLS
0 - 1
FRE
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 2
BLA
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
AJA
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
SUN
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
SSU
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CHI
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
MAR
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |