Free State Stars vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
AMA
0 - 0
FRE
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
SUN
2 - 0
FRE
62%
23%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
FRE
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 1
MPU
66%
20%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PIR
0 - 3
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 3
VAS
73%
19%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PIR
1 - 3
CHI
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAN
51%
27%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |