Free State Stars vs Jomo Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 1
FRE
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
THA
2 - 0
FRE
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 0
BLA
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BLO
1 - 1
FRE
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 0
GOL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jomo Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
BID
1 - 2
COS
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
COS
1 - 1
PLS
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 0
COS
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
COS
2 - 1
SSU
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
SUN
0 - 0
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |