Free State Stars vs Hungry Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
PRE
3 - 1
FRE
41%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
UTH
0 - 0
FRE
28%
29%
43%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 2
PCF
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 2
FRE
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 0
FRE
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hungry Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
HLF
4 - 0
TTM
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 0
HLF
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
COS
0 - 0
HLF
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
HLF
0 - 4
POL
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
HLF
4 - 0
PCR
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |