Free State Stars vs Highlands Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
FRE
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GOL
0 - 1
FRE
42%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 0
SSU
30%
29%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 1
FRE
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Highlands Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
SSU
28%
31%
41%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
POL
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
MPU
3 - 0
PAR
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |