Free State Stars vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SSU
0 - 0
FRE
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
GOL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
FRE
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 0
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BID
1 - 0
GOL
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 0
BLA
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
GOL
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 0
SUN
31%
26%
44%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 0
GOL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |