Free State Stars vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
FRE
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 2
PIR
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
FRE
37%
30%
34%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
SSU
0 - 0
FRE
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 1
PLS
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
GOL
1 - 2
CHI
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 0
GOL
35%
30%
36%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
GOL
3 - 0
MAR
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
GOL
0 - 2
PIR
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 2
GOL
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |