Free State Stars vs Engen Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
SWA
2 - 1
FRE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
PIR
0 - 0
FRE
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 0
MPU
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 1
FRE
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 2
COS
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Engen Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
COS
1 - 0
SAN
18%
26%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
PIR
40%
30%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
MPU
1 - 2
SAN
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
GOL
45%
30%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
SWA
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |