Free State Stars vs Chippa United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
BLO
0 - 0
FRE
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 1
BID
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
MPU
1 - 0
FRE
65%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 2
POL
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
PLS
1 - 1
FRE
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chippa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
SSU
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 0
SSU
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
AJA
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PIR
2 - 1
CHI
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |