Free State Stars vs Bloemfontein Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
FRE
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MPU
1 - 0
FRE
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 4
PIR
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 2
CHI
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
PLS
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bloemfontein Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
BLO
0 - 1
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BLO
1 - 1
POL
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
PLS
2 - 3
BLO
48%
27%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
BLO
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BLO
5 - 0
AJA
36%
28%
37%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |