Free State Stars vs Black Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
FRE
55%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GOL
2 - 0
FRE
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
BLO
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
PIR
3 - 1
FRE
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PIR
1 - 2
FRE
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Black Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 2
SUN
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
BLA
73%
19%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 4
CHI
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
BLA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |