Free State Stars vs Cape Town Spurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BID
0 - 0
FRE
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PLS
4 - 0
FRE
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 1
GOL
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SSU
0 - 0
FRE
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 0
SUN
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
SSU
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
AJA
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 5
PRE
61%
22%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
PIR
2 - 0
AJA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |