Free State Stars vs Cape Town Spurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BID
1 - 3
FRE
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 1
EAG
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
COS
2 - 2
FRE
28%
30%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
AMA
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 3
SUN
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
3 - 3
AJA
29%
25%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 2
PLS
66%
22%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |