Free State Stars vs Cape Town Spurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
BID
1 - 0
FRE
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
FRE
8 - 1
IKA
77%
15%
9%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SSU
6 - 1
FRE
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 1
PLS
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 4
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SWA
2 - 1
AJA
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 1
PLS
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 0
AJA
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
BID
0 - 1
AJA
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
SSU
3 - 2
AJA
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |