Free State Stars vs Bizana Pondo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
TSS
0 - 1
FRE
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 2
RIB
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 2
FRE
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
COS
1 - 2
FRE
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
STE
0 - 1
FRE
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bizana Pondo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
RKF
1 - 0
BPC
61%
23%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BPC
2 - 1
COS
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
BPC
1 - 3
ALL
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
RIB
4 - 1
BPC
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
PCF
1 - 0
BPC
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |