Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-7
Fredrikstad vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
FFK
2 - 3
VIF
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
STR
2 - 3
FFK
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1967 |
FFK
1 - 2
FRI
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1967 |
SKE
1 - 0
FFK
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1967 |
SAR
0 - 3
FFK
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
VIT
0 - 2
VST
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
VST
1 - 0
VAR
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1967 |
VST
3 - 2
ACA
56%
21%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1967 |
VST
4 - 4
FCP
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1967 |
FCP
0 - 3
VST
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |