Fredrikstad vs Stromsgodset IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
13º
6º
28
3º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 56 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 55 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 50 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 48 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 37 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 33 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 29 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 28 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
16º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
14% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 4
FFK
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
RAU
2 - 3
FFK
26%
23%
52%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ODD
0 - 2
FFK
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
RBK
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
SDF
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
VKG
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
STR
3 - 4
LSK
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BOG
1 - 0
STR
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
STR
4 - 0
KRI
51%
22%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
KRI
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |