Fredrikstad vs SK Brann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
13º
6º
59
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
HAU
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 0
KFU
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
2 - 2
RBK
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 1
FFK
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 0
MFK
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SK Brann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
3 - 1
STM
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
STM
1 - 1
BBS
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 3
BBS
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 1
GAE
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
GAE
0 - 0
BBS
35%
24%
42%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |