Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FFK
1 - 2
SDF
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 2
FFK
32%
24%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
FFK
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
FFK
0 - 1
KRI
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
OST
2 - 3
FFK
12%
20%
69%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 2
S08
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
KVI
0 - 3
S08
9%
17%
75%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
S08
4 - 0
MFK
23%
25%
53%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
IKS
1 - 4
S08
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
S08
1 - 1
STB
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |