Fredrikstad vs Odd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
13º
6º
21
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 0
FFK
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 4
BBS
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
HAU
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 0
KFU
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
2 - 2
RBK
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Odd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ODD
1 - 3
RBK
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 0
ODD
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ODD
1 - 1
S08
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ODD
2 - 0
STR
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
3 - 1
ODD
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |