Fredrikstad vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
EGE
1 - 0
FFK
42%
25%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FFK
3 - 0
LEV
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BRY
1 - 2
FFK
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
FFK
0 - 0
BYA
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FFK
5 - 1
ORN
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
NAR
1 - 4
SOL
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
VID
1 - 3
NAR
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
NAR
2 - 0
FKA
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
STB
1 - 0
NAR
72%
17%
12%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
NAR
4 - 0
MOS
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |