Fredrikstad vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
13º
6º
34
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 54 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 54 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 41 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 36 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 32 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 27 |
16º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 3% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
1% | 25.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
14.5% | 54% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
KRI
3 - 1
FFK
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ELF
0 - 0
FFK
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SDF
4 - 2
FFK
33%
24%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 1
FFK
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 0
FFK
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MFK
3 - 0
LSK
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
MFK
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 0
ODD
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 2
VKG
55%
21%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BBS
1 - 3
MFK
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |