Fredrikstad vs IK Start analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
5º
1º
46
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FFK
1 - 2
VKG
14%
19%
67%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
RAU
1 - 1
FFK
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
ORN
0 - 1
FFK
23%
23%
55%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
FFK
2 - 1
ASA
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SJE
0 - 3
FFK
10%
18%
71%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
GJO
1 - 0
IKS
13%
18%
70%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 1
IKS
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
HIF
0 - 3
IKS
6%
13%
81%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
IKS
2 - 1
RAN
62%
21%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
0 - 2
IKS
23%
21%
56%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |