Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-2
Fredrikstad vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1972 |
FFK
4 - 0
MJO
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
HKS
1 - 0
FFK
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
VKG
0 - 1
FFK
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
FFK
2 - 0
SKE
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1972 |
FFK
0 - 1
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
HKS
1 - 0
FFK
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
HKS
1 - 1
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
VCF
0 - 0
HKS
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
HKS
2 - 1
VST
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
VST
2 - 0
HKS
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |