Fredrikstad vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NES
2 - 1
FFK
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
FFK
1 - 0
RAN
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HOD
2 - 0
FFK
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FFK
1 - 2
STR
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ULL
0 - 1
FFK
25%
27%
49%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 4
SDF
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ULL
0 - 2
BAR
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
RAN
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
HON
2 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |