Champions League Last 16
Global 0-4
Fredrikstad vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
9.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
FFK
38%
22%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
FFK
1 - 2
LAR
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
FFK
4 - 1
VKG
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
VIF
4 - 2
FFK
32%
23%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1960 |
AJA
0 - 0
FFK
44%
22%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
FFK
38%
22%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
WAR
1 - 0
AGF
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
WAR
50%
21%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1957 |
AGF
2 - 0
SEV
39%
23%
39%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
4 - 0
AGF
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |