Fredrikstad II vs Mandalskameratene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
9º
47
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FFK
3 - 0
POR
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
RIL
1 - 1
FFK
17%
17%
66%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
FFK
2 - 0
IKS
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
AFK
1 - 4
FFK
30%
20%
50%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FFK
1 - 2
VIN
52%
21%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mandalskameratene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 3
SFO
66%
17%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HIF
3 - 0
MAN
27%
21%
52%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 2
VIN
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
IKS
2 - 0
MAN
32%
21%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
6 - 2
DON
84%
11%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |