Fredrikstad II vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
80.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
13º
8º
74
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 2
FFK
23%
19%
59%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
KON
30%
21%
49%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
MJO
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SIK
7 - 2
FFK
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
6 - 1
FBG
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HON
5 - 0
MJO
91%
7%
2%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SIK
0 - 5
HON
9%
16%
75%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HON
1 - 1
HAR
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 6
HON
5%
12%
83%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HON
2 - 2
FLO
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |