Fredrikstad II vs HamKam II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
13º
7º
26
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 59 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 51 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 45 |
5º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 34 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 21 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 9 |
14º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
6 - 1
FFK
32%
21%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 1
IFC
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
5 - 0
FFK
65%
17%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
FBG
2 - 2
FFK
16%
17%
67%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FFK
6 - 1
ILU
84%
11%
6%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
HamKam II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 5
HON
18%
20%
62%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
KON
2 - 1
HAM
50%
20%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 2
SIK
42%
21%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
6 - 1
HAM
40%
21%
39%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HAM
6 - 1
FYL
72%
15%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |