Fredericia vs Roskilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
HVI
0 - 1
FRE
38%
26%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 0
SKI
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VES
1 - 0
FRE
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
5 - 0
KOL
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
3 - 5
OBK
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ROS
1 - 1
NAE
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
THI
3 - 2
ROS
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 3
AKA
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ROS
0 - 2
HVI
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SKI
1 - 1
ROS
44%
24%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |