Fredericia vs Hvidovre IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
3º
3º
13
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 39 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 31 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 30 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 30 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 30 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 29 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
12º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
92% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
OBK
3 - 0
FRE
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 2
ROS
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 0
ESB
42%
25%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
RIN
1 - 9
FRE
5%
11%
84%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
FRE
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hvidovre IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HVI
0 - 0
HIL
40%
25%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 1
HVI
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HVI
4 - 0
B93
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 2
HVI
6%
12%
82%
|
65 | 20 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 0
HVI
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |