Fredericia vs Hobro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
47
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 4
FRE
25%
25%
51%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
AAB
1 - 0
FRE
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
KOL
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
SON
2 - 1
FRE
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 1
AAB
25%
24%
52%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
HOB
2 - 2
SON
15%
21%
64%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
HOB
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
HOB
4 - 1
VEN
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AAB
2 - 3
HOB
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 1
HOB
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |